Hurricane Frances

[lms2]

HEY WARF. Welcome back! Glad to hear you are okay, and hopefully we will hear from Pete, Lionsfan and Sunya tomorrow or so.

(and I will continue with the prayers and stuff for a speedy restoration of all of your lives back to normal-clean ups a beatch)

[Ally_Kat]

Sunya is okay.

[WARF]

That's alot further west...

Sunya probably wasn't severely affected by this.

Maybe Hurricane Charley that passed through the week before...

We can only hope for the best.

[SoCalChelle]

Originally posted by Ally_Kat
Sunya is okay.

Cool, thanks Ally. The last time I talked to her on the phone was the day the storm was about to hit.

[Ally_Kat]

Ah, now we're getting all that rain.

The subway is flooded and service was literally at a standsill for a long while. Shit is slowly getting back to normal. Had an afternoon class tht was canceled because of it. Got an evening class now, and I'm hoping that gets called because it started raining again bad here in Queens. My mother says tha she's making me go anyway. Should be fun trying to get home in one piece.

[Fabulous Shadow]

Glad your safe WARF!

Looking forward to hearing from the rest of um!

Pete?

[Ozzy Fudd]

I just receved this today

[lionsfan]

Back…

Thanks for all the warm fuzzies, everyone.

It wasn’t too bad over here. 40-50 mph sustained winds with a few hurricane-force gusts and some rain. I stood outside in my driveway during that and it was awesome. Sunday is when everything started winding down, and that’s when I decided to take a drive around the neighborhood to see what Frances had done. There were leaves everywhere, a few trees had been knocked over, and some street lights were gone. Overall, though, my neighborhood faired pretty well.

There are a few houses here that still have their hurricane shutters up. I wonder why…


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics...F/082203W5.gif

[lms2]

Glad your are back and it wasn't too rough!

[lms2]

Anyone heard from Pete?

[lionsfan]

Originally posted by lms2
Glad your are back and it wasn't too rough!

Thanks.

Glad to be back.

[lionsfan]

Here is a little update on Hurricane Ivan:

000
WTNT34 KNHC 090543
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM AST THU SEP 09 2004

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS IVAN STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY 5
HURRICANE OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND
CURACAO.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE GUAJIRA PENINSULA OF COLOMBIA...FOR THE ENTIRE NORTHERN
COAST OF VENEZUELA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI
FROM THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WESTWARD...INCLUDING PORT
AU PRINCE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA
LATER THIS MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO WESTWARD TO
PEDERNALES. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN.

AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135
KM...NORTHEAST OF ARUBA IN THE DUTCH NETHERLAND ANTILLES. THIS IS
ALSO ABOUT 570 MILES... 915 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON
JAMAICA.

IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
OF IVAN SHOULD REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTH OF ARUBA AND BONAIRE DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND THEN CONTINUE ON ROUTE TOWARD THE AREA
NEAR JAMAICA.

RECENT REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 160 MPH...255
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES IVAN A RARE CATEGORY 5
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS
IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS 925 MB...27.31 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR THE CENTER OF IVAN IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
PATH OF IVAN.

REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...13.7 N... 69.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...160 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 925 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$

[lionsfan]

Originally posted by WARF
Hi, everyone!

First and foremost...

I'd like to thank everyone for the prayers and support...

It's been a long tough road... and it's too long of a story to get into.. but I've been busy feeding the neighbors and giving them water and ice.... because I am one of the lucky ones... who got their electricity back.... there are over 500,000 people in my county alone... who have no electricity... or gasoline... some people don't even have water... all I hope is that lionsfan and pete are okay... have they posted here yet?

Welcome back, WARF.

[Ally_Kat]

Originally posted by lionsfan
FORECASTER STEWART

Is FORECASTER FRANKLIN on Pacific patrol again?

[Ally_Kat]

My friend posted this in another board I go to --

Normally wouldn't post something like this in it's own thread, but considering a lot of people on the boards, and those who read the boards are from the Carribean or have friends or family in parts of the Carribean, I thought I'd mention it.

As of 2AM AST (same as EST) Hurricane Ivan is a Category 5 Hurricane, the first category 5 cane of the 2004 season. Sustained winds are at 160MPH with gusts estimated up to 200MPH. Although the hurricane is about a week away from the US, it's estimated path takes it right over Jamaica, making landfall in Jamaica sometime Friday night. It will be devastating for Jamaica if it hits as a Cat 5, or even a Cat 4.

This storm is dangerous. Unlike Frances, which had ideal conditions almost the whole way through, but that just couldn't keep together, Ivan has had to deal with some factors which could have weekened it, but it stayed together and grew stronger. The most notable thing in the last 3 hours, has been the pressure drop at the center, from 938mb to 925mb, indicating this storm really blew up in the last few hours. (winds increased by 15 MPH in 3 hours).
Also, from a meteorology standpoint, reconnaisance aircraft have reported frequent lightning around the eyewall, and severe hail. Both conditions are very rare in hurricanes and incated a very potent storm.

Jamaica looks like it's in for, followed by the western part of Cuba. The only way this cane will miss Jamaica is to the west, but since the strongest winds are in the Northeast quadrant of a hurricane, it will still most likely be greatly affected. The biggest thing with Ivan is the rapid intensification it just endured, along with signs that it's not done getting stronger. It's set to move into warmer waters, and then make more of a northern move into the Gulf Of Mexico. This could very well affect Florida come next week.
THis storm really hasn't been hyped up, I think a lot of the reason is because we're still focused on Frances, but as of now, it is a much more dangerous storm.
If you have relatives or friends in Jamaica, hopefully they've already made preparations for the storm, but it is very important they get ready for this storm and take it seriously, as it might very well be the worst storm Jamaica has even seen.
More updates to come!

[lms2]

And the hits just keep coming.

[Fabulous Shadow]

I spoke to Pete on the phone this morning. He is fine. He has no cable access so he can't get online. No major damage. He thanks everyone for their prayers and concern.

[lionsfan]

Originally posted by Ally_Kat
Is FORECASTER FRANKLIN on Pacific patrol again?

Actually, he's tracking Tropical Depression 10 in the Atlantic, which formed and dissipated today. I guess he isn't a good enough forecaster to write advisories for Hurricane Ivan.

[chefcraig]

Oh Christ, the agony...the much dreaded Miami Dolphin home opener has been moved a day earlier, to Saturday.

Haven't we suffered enough?

The Dolphin's chances of scoring this year are worse than mine, and I'm married.

I work in a retail store...remember last week? Well...it's back.

Hunker down, Floridians...man: Sam Hagar (Fort Lauderdale Show), the Dolphins and another freakin' hurricane...with all this wind blowing around, no wonder everyone is buying plywood.

...craig