Fed says recession easing, inflation not a threat

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • GAR
    Banned
    • Jan 2004
    • 10871

    Fed says recession easing, inflation not a threat

    Fed says recession easing, inflation not a threat - Yahoo! News

    Fed says recession easing, inflation not a threat


    <cite class="vcard"> By JEANNINE AVERSA, AP Economics Writer Jeannine Aversa, Ap Economics Writer </cite> – <abbr title="2009-06-24T12:10:14-0700" class="recenttimedate">38 mins ago</abbr>

    <!-- end .byline --> WASHINGTON – The Federal Reserve signaled Wednesday that the weak economy likely will keep prices in check despite growing concerns that the trillions it's pumping into the financial system will ignite inflation.

    Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues held a key bank lending rate at a record low of between zero and 0.25 percent, and pledged again to keep it there for "an extended period" to help brace activity going forward.

    Even though energy and other commodity prices have risen recently, the Fed said inflation will remain "subdued for some time." This new language sought to ease Wall Street's concerns that the Fed's aggressive actions to revive the economy will spur inflation later on.

    The Fed also decided to maintain existing programs intended to drive down rates on mortgages and other consumer debt. Instead, the central bank again reserved the right to make changes if economic conditions warrant.

    The Fed in March launched a $1.2 trillion effort to drive down interest rates to try to revive lending and get Americans to spend more freely again. It said it would spend up to $300 billion to buy long-term government bonds over six months and boost its purchases of mortgage securities.

    So far, the Fed has bought about $177.5 billion in Treasury bonds. The Fed is on track to buy up to $1.25 trillion worth of securities issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac by the end of this year. Nearly $456 billion worth of those securities have been purchased.

    Fed policymakers noted that the "pace of economic contraction is slowing" and that conditions in financial markets have "generally improved in recent months." That observation about the recession was stronger than after the Fed's last meeting in April.

    Economists predict the economy is sinking in the April-June quarter but not nearly as much as it had in the prior six months, which marked the worst performance in 50 years. The economy is contracting at a pace of between 1 and 3 percent, according to various projections.

    Fed policymakers said its forceful actions, along with President Barack Obama's stimulus of tax cuts and increased government spending will contribution to a "gradual "return to economic growth.

    Bernanke has predicted the recession will end later this year. Some analysts say the economy will start growing again as soon as the July-September quarter.

    Fed policymakers noted that consumer spending has shown signs of stabilizing but remains constrained by ongoing job losses, falling home values and hard-to-get credit.

    Even after the recession ends, the recovery is likely to be tepid, which will push unemployment higher.
    The nation's unemployment rate — now at 9.4 percent — is expected to keep climbing into 2010. Acknowledging that the jobless rate is going to climb over 10 percent, President Barack Obama said Tuesday he's not satisfied with the progress his administration has made on the economy. He defended his recovery package but said the aid must get out faster.

    Some analysts say the rate could rise as high as 11 percent by the next summer before it starts to decline. The highest rate since World War II was 10.8 percent at the end of 1982.
    The weak economy has put a damper on inflation.

    Consumer prices inched up 0.1 percent in May, but are down 1.3 percent over the last 12 months, the weakest annual showing since the 1950s. The Fed suggested companies won't be in any position to jack up prices given cautious consumers, big production cuts at factories and the weak employment climate.
    Last edited by GAR; 06-24-2009, 04:02 PM.
  • Big Train
    Full Member Status

    • Apr 2004
    • 4013

    #2
    Obama's "Economists" have one world view and a guy with actual money to worry about has a much different view. Ford, I hope you read this, since Buffett is your boy and Obama is your boy.

    Buffett: The economy has ‘fallen off a cliff’
    Investor tells CNBC unemployment level could climb a lot higher
    The Associated Press
    updated 2:29 p.m. PT, Mon., March. 9, 2009
    OMAHA, Neb. - Billionaire Warren Buffett remains confident that America’s best days are ahead, but he says the nation likely will face higher unemployment and eventually inflation because of the current economic crisis.

    Buffett said the nation’s leaders need to emphasize a consistent message, and they should support President Barack Obama’s efforts to repair the economy because fear is dominating Americans’ behavior.

    Buffett said the economy has basically followed the worst-case scenario he envisioned six months ago.

    “It’s fallen off a cliff,” Buffett said Monday during a live appearance on cable network CNBC. “Not only has the economy slowed down a lot, but people have really changed their habits like I haven’t seen.”

    Buffett said the changes are reflected in the results of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s subsidiaries. He said Berkshire’s jewelry companies have suffered, but more people have been willing to switch to Geico to save money on car insurance. The three-hour-long interview aired from another Berkshire subsidiary that has been hampered by the economy, the Nebraska Furniture Mart store in Omaha.

    He predicted that unemployment will climb a lot higher before the recession is done, but he also reiterated his optimistic long-term view: “Everything will be all right. We do have the greatest economic machine that man has ever created.”

    Fear and confusion have been driving consumer and investor behavior in recent months, Buffett said.

    The nation’s leaders need to clear up the confusion before anyone will become more confident, and he said all 535 members of Congress should stop the partisan bickering about solutions. He said politicians should also stop trying to use the current economic crisis to force through other policy changes.

    “We ought to defer most of the things that get people riled up,” Buffett said.

    Buffett said he believes patriotic Republicans and Democrats will realize the nation is engaged in an economic war.

    “What is required is a commander in chief that’s looked at like a commander in chief in a time of war,” Buffett said.

    Whatever the government does to help the economy will likely benefit some people who made poor financial decisions, but Buffett said Americans should realize that everyone is in the same boat.

    “The people that behaved well are no doubt going to find themselves taking care of the people who didn’t behave well,” Buffett said.

    The current efforts to help revive the economy are likely to produce inflation that could be worse than what the country suffered in the late 1970s, Buffett said.

    But even though the nation will have to pay for current policies with future inflation, Buffett said, the U.S. government still needs to act.

    “We’re in a big war, and we’re going to use money to fight it,” he said.

    Maintaining faith in the nation’s banking system will be important to restoring the economy’s health, Buffett added. He said President Barack Obama needs to make it very clear that consumers won’t lose money in banks even if more fail.

    “If you don’t trust where you have your money, the world stops,” Buffett said.

    Most banks are in good shape, Buffett said, and even some of the troubled banks will be able to remedy their problems over time by reducing dividends and collecting the difference between interest payments they receive on loans and the interest they pay on deposits.

    “The banking system largely will cure itself,” Buffett said.

    A little over a week ago, Buffett released his annual letter to shareholders describing the worst of his 44 years at the helm of Berkshire. The Omaha, Neb.-based company reported sharply lower profit because of its largely unrealized $7.5 billion investment and derivative losses.

    Overall, Berkshire’s 2008 profit of $4.99 billion, or $3,224 per Class A share, was down 62 percent from $13.21 billion, or $8,548 per share, in 2007.

    Berkshire’s fourth-quarter numbers were even worse. Buffett’s company reported net income of $117 million, or $76 per share, down 96 percent from $2.95 billion, or $1,904 per share, a year earlier.

    Buffett said he doesn’t regret writing a commentary in the fall encouraging people to buy U.S. stocks, but he joked that in hindsight he wishes he’d waited a few months to publish the piece. Since that commentary appeared on Oct. 17, the Dow Jones industrial average has fallen from 8,852.22 to close at 6,626.94 on Friday.

    Buffett stands by his overall advice that owning stocks over time will profit people greater than so-called safe investments.

    “Overall, equities are going to do far better than U.S. government bonds at these prices,” he said.

    Buffett said he doesn’t regret investing $8 billion of Berkshire’s money in investment bank Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and conglomerate General Electric Co. last fall. Both companies gave Berkshire preferred shares paying 10 percent interest that Buffett said he doesn’t think he could get now.

    Buffett also said on CNBC:

    That General Motors Corp. needs a new business plan to survive because its costs are too high, but it’s difficult to predict how a solution will be reached. “You are in a terrible, terrible time period for the car makers every place.”
    Berkshire has made several large investments over the past year and reduced its cash on hand to $24.3 billion at the end of 2008. Buffett said that means Berkshire will likely write fewer insurance policies on catastrophic events in 2009 because he wants to make sure the company always has at least $10 billion on hand. “My job is to be absolutely sure Berkshire doesn’t need help from anyone in the worst of times,” Buffett said.
    Any deal negotiated last summer made the sellers very happy and the buyers unhappy today. That’s part of why Buffett said Dow Chemical Co.’s $15 billion bid to buy rival chemical maker Rohm & Haas Co. has not been consummated. “The world has changed like nobody ever believed it would,” he said.
    But Buffett said the $3 billion Berkshire committed to the Dow deal remains solid if the two chemical companies can agree on how to close the deal.

    Berkshire owns a diverse mix of more than 60 companies, including insurance, furniture, carpet, jewelry, restaurants and utility businesses. And it has major investments in such companies as Wells Fargo & Co. and Coca-Cola Co.

    Comment

    • GAR
      Banned
      • Jan 2004
      • 10871

      #3
      I'm saying by posting this thread: right before the hyperinflation hits and they start printing us into double-digit inflation, that this was all wrong!

      Bank Bailouts-wrong.
      Auto Bailouts-wrong.
      FannieMaeFreddymac madness-wrong
      carbon cap trade bullshit-wrong.
      Co2 designated toxic and worthy of regulation-WAY wrong
      GE/Al Gore "greenhouse gas gang" = fuck you get outta here wrong

      This is the most wrong I've ever seen since I started reading the newspaper at age 10

      Comment

      • Big Train
        Full Member Status

        • Apr 2004
        • 4013

        #4
        Utter silence from the Obama choir boys? Obamacare didn't go over too well last night. Must be that 2 tril and climbing budget estimate and the metric ton of job losses this idiocy will cause in the health care industry alone.

        Comment

        Working...