Vaccine Anyone?
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I believe you can't discount a certain percentage of herd immunity given the number of positive cases overall and the tiny amount of reinfections. Combine that with the vaccine rollout and that's driving numbers way down.
None of this is absolute and there's going to be statistical exceptions but the reporting numbers are real clear.
At least in Arkansas, which I track... from early January we've dropped from over 4000 new cases a day to 100-200 currently. Hospitalizations from 1400 to less than 200.
I will say that week in February where we had record snow and below freezing/zero temperatures really knocked the numbers way down as people just couldn't get out and most business fully shut down. Not advocating that level of shut down be implemented in any way... but you can't deny the significant fall off in numbers. Yes, testing dropped, but came right back up afterwards and there was no spike or rebound. The numbers just kept falling, especially the percent positive which is trending below 2% from a high of near 25%."If you want to be a monk... you gotta cook a lot of rice...”Comment
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Not because of mRNA vaccines. They do not expose you to the virus. They simply reprogram how your cells work. The Johnson & Johnson vaccine can. The mRNA vaccines simply reduce the symptoms if you catch the virus. So to build herd immunity you have to actually be exposed to the virus.No! You can't have the keys to the wine cellar!Comment
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I believe you can't discount a certain percentage of herd immunity given the number of positive cases overall and the tiny amount of reinfections. Combine that with the vaccine rollout and that's driving numbers way down.
None of this is absolute and there's going to be statistical exceptions but the reporting numbers are real clear.
At least in Arkansas, which I track... from early January we've dropped from over 4000 new cases a day to 100-200 currently. Hospitalizations from 1400 to less than 200.
I will say that week in February where we had record snow and below freezing/zero temperatures really knocked the numbers way down as people just couldn't get out and most business fully shut down. Not advocating that level of shut down be implemented in any way... but you can't deny the significant fall off in numbers. Yes, testing dropped, but came right back up afterwards and there was no spike or rebound. The numbers just kept falling, especially the percent positive which is trending below 2% from a high of near 25%.No! You can't have the keys to the wine cellar!Comment
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It’s funny. A lot of my neighbors are retired physicians. They all have different opinions on COVID. It’s like anything else. People never seeing anything the same way.No! You can't have the keys to the wine cellar!Comment
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The thing about physicians... some of the basics never change but medical and scientific advances continue to grow at a rapid rate. If the physician doesn't have access and/or the motivation to keep up with the growing body of knowledge... their expertise falls behind rapidly.
Given this virus is so new and the effects still not fully understood... I'd be real skeptical of anything a retired doctor had to say on it.
Hell even the so called current "experts" can't agree on much..."If you want to be a monk... you gotta cook a lot of rice...”Comment
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Specialisms are important. A retired orthopedic surgeon could be basing his opinions what he remembers from a few lectures he had in virology at med school in the 1960s and his news feed. which like anyone elses may be biased.
There was a study that showed on average that the best doctors to be treated by is one who is in their 30s because as you say they have the most up to date knowledge.
Last edited by Seshmeister; 04-03-2021, 04:19 PM.Comment
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Eat Us And Smile
Cenk For America 2024!!
Justice Democrats
"If the American people had ever known the truth about what we (the BCE) have done to this nation, we would be chased down in the streets and lynched." - Poppy Bush, 1992Comment
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Eat Us And Smile
Cenk For America 2024!!
Justice Democrats
"If the American people had ever known the truth about what we (the BCE) have done to this nation, we would be chased down in the streets and lynched." - Poppy Bush, 1992Comment
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Eat Us And Smile
Cenk For America 2024!!
Justice Democrats
"If the American people had ever known the truth about what we (the BCE) have done to this nation, we would be chased down in the streets and lynched." - Poppy Bush, 1992Comment
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I got my second dose last week. Another 10 days or so and I will lose my main excuse to avoid people.ROTH ARMY MILITIA
Originally posted by EAT MY ASSHOLE
Sharky sometimes needs things spelled out for him in explicit, specific detail. I used to think it was a lawyer thing, but over time it became more and more evident that he's merely someone's idiot twin.Comment
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Got my first shot of the Pfizer yesterday, at a FEMA-run vaccination site. Shot was administered by USAF personnel. Second shot of Pfizer in 3 weeks.
Took a couple of Advil when I got home as a precaution/in anticipation of possible nausea...no nausea. Mildly tired yesterday. No lagging tiredness today.
Was mildly surprised how quick it was in terms of the on-site traffic: was in and out of there in less than a half hour. Am assuming some of that had to do with it being Easter.Scramby eggs and bacon.Comment
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The whole issue regarding vaccines is trust. People want to know for sure they are safe with no bad side effects. People don’t trust big corporations or the government anymore. They remember some people were permantly damaged by the swine flu vaccine when that was pushed on the public in 1976.
In fact that’s the whole issue with our politics and everything else. One side doesn’t trust the other side. All the arguing in the world doesn’t fix that reality. So you get one side or the other trying to out maneuver and strong arm the other and forcing them to do stuff. That never ends well.
I'm not an anti-vaxxer, but I'll readily admit I had - and still have - concerns about how fast these various covid-vaccines were ramped up into production and approved. I'd be lying if I said I didn't have any concerns about potential long-term side effects of the vaccine(s) that may not manifest themselves until years down the line.
All of that was contrasted with - and ultimately outweighed by - my desire NOT to contract covid and end up being hospitalized/dying from it.
It is harsh and somewhat obvious to say, but from my experience life doesn't extend many - if any - 100% guarantees.Scramby eggs and bacon.Comment
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Frankly, even after this virus passes...I'll kinda miss not wearing a mask and having people socially distanced from me: people smell and I don't particularly want them up in my grill, anyway.Scramby eggs and bacon.Comment
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