I see the Democrats and underlying establishment power brokers as really poor strategists in all this... If they are thinking that playing up Trump as the evil enemy will motivate their base to prevail in the mid-terms, this could backfire terribly for them in a few simple outcome scenarios.
1. They succeed in tarnishing Trump enough to prevent him from running in 2024... the current motivations and methods in this has raised some serious questions on using the DOJ & FBI as a political weapon. Sure, it fires up the far left and right but... a lot of independents and people in the moderate middle are questioning these tactics and the methods being applied. Even with Trump out... I don't see that generating a shift in the Democrat's favor. Just the opposite as many moderates don't want to see our institutions used in such a manner and have little appetite for the mismanagement of the country under the current leadership. Trump out... very few have an interest in the Biden admin bumbling through another 4 years and who do they got to fill that hole?
2. This current mess continues to dominate current events for months with no meaningful outcome. Trump plays the martyr card and continues to fire up the right and both sides further disgust the moderate middle while Trump remains non-committal on running again in 2024. This thing festers on and the Dems/establishment pull more desperate moves to undermine Trump. The mid-terms result in the predicted power shift to Republicans in both the House and Senate. At the right timing when things are heated up... Trump announces he's not running. This will create a huge vacuum sucking the air out of the Left and Democrats... opening up an even bigger swing Right with strong candidates such as Pence and/or Desantis into the mix. Again the Dems got Biden and the current mess... who are they going to field in 2024?
3. Republicans take the mid-terms... Trump runs, but gets beat out by either Pence or Desantis in the Primaries. The Left and Dems have this mess they created and who are they going to bring up..? Mayor Pete? Harris? Hilary?
Is there a viable strategy that can turn any of this in favor of the current leadership that most of the country could support?
1. They succeed in tarnishing Trump enough to prevent him from running in 2024... the current motivations and methods in this has raised some serious questions on using the DOJ & FBI as a political weapon. Sure, it fires up the far left and right but... a lot of independents and people in the moderate middle are questioning these tactics and the methods being applied. Even with Trump out... I don't see that generating a shift in the Democrat's favor. Just the opposite as many moderates don't want to see our institutions used in such a manner and have little appetite for the mismanagement of the country under the current leadership. Trump out... very few have an interest in the Biden admin bumbling through another 4 years and who do they got to fill that hole?
2. This current mess continues to dominate current events for months with no meaningful outcome. Trump plays the martyr card and continues to fire up the right and both sides further disgust the moderate middle while Trump remains non-committal on running again in 2024. This thing festers on and the Dems/establishment pull more desperate moves to undermine Trump. The mid-terms result in the predicted power shift to Republicans in both the House and Senate. At the right timing when things are heated up... Trump announces he's not running. This will create a huge vacuum sucking the air out of the Left and Democrats... opening up an even bigger swing Right with strong candidates such as Pence and/or Desantis into the mix. Again the Dems got Biden and the current mess... who are they going to field in 2024?
3. Republicans take the mid-terms... Trump runs, but gets beat out by either Pence or Desantis in the Primaries. The Left and Dems have this mess they created and who are they going to bring up..? Mayor Pete? Harris? Hilary?
Is there a viable strategy that can turn any of this in favor of the current leadership that most of the country could support?
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